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Hypothetical performance; not actual results. See important disclosures below.

Harvest Yield Analytics (Corn) – 10/17/25

Harvest Yield Analytics (HYA)

The model captures real-time yield results from commercial seed company trial results during the fall harvest season. Yields from seed plot trials are then compared to historical seed plot trials (2020–2024) in the same region and used as a predictor for average county yields. It’s important to note these results are not fully representative of every acre or growing condition, but they provide valuable directional insights into harvest outcomes.

Follow Along Weekly with our Harvest Yield Analytics as we track corn and soybean yields this harvest season and compare trends to previous years. This information is part of our weekly email insights— sign up here to receive updates directly in your inbox.

HWill Corn Yields Live Up to USDA’s Magic Number?

With over 62% of corn counties now reporting, the HYA data show a national composite modestly above last year, but the path to USDA’s 186.7 bu/ac estimate remains uneven. The maps and charts reveal a sharp regional split — strong gains in the Northern Plains and Ohio Valley contrast with notable weakness across Iowa, Illinois, and Kansas. As more harvest data flows in, national stability appears to be firming, yet the western Corn Belt’s deficits continue to cap upside, leaving the USDA target plausible but far from guaranteed.

For a deeper dive, check out this week’s YouTube video where Kevin McNew breaks down the latest Harvest Yield numbers.

  • Download the Full HYA Report

  • Data from 2,268 plot reports through October 17, 2025 compared to 8,900 in 2024

  • Includes benchmark comparisons from the USDA 2025 Report (September 11)

  • Updated weekly as additional plot results are reported

About Quantum Hedging’s Research Program

The Harvest Yield Analytics series is part of Quantum Hedging’s broader Research Product, delivering high-frequency, data-driven insights for commercial grain entities, merchandisers, and institutional investors. Each week’s update bridges on-the-ground yield performance with national supply trends to help clients navigate market volatility and position for opportunity.

Stay informed with ongoing corn and soybean yield tracking, updated maps, and model commentary throughout harvest.

👉 Subscribe to the HYA Weekly Insights: Join the Email List

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Management services are offered by Quantum Hedging CTA, LLC – NFA ID: 0566667. Brokerage services are offered by Boundary Waters Capital, LLC, dba Quantum Hedging BR – NFA ID: 0560271.

Disclaimer: Commodity trading, including futures, hedging and speculating, involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Back-tested results shown are hypothetical and do not represent actual trading. They are based on historical data and modeling assumptions and have inherent limitations; actual results may differ materially. AI-generated forecasts are forward-looking estimates based on historical trends and assumptions. These projections are for informational purposes only and are not a guarantee of future results. Past trends are not indicative of future performance. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade any instrument. All information, publications, and reports, including this specific material, used and distributed by Quantum Hedging shall be construed as a solicitation. Quantum Hedging does not distribute research reports, employ research analysts, or maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Regulation 1.71. At no point should a trade suggestion be interpreted as an expressed or implied guarantee or implication of profit. For the purposes of quality assurance and compliance, phone calls to and from Quantum Hedging may be recorded.

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